Tuesday, May 11, 2010

One Month to Act

Last week, Behzad Soltani — deputy head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization — announced that Iran will join the world nuclear club within a month. He further claimed that:



No country would even think about attacking Iran after Iran’s membership in the club.



Iran’s leaders continue to defy the international community’s demands to stop uranium enrichment activity, and are in fact enriching more aggressively than ever before. While heads of state around the globe debate even more sanctions against Iran — none of which have worked in the past — Iran’s clerics speed toward becoming one of the most dangerous regimes on the planet.



They continue to enrich uranium at the Natanz facility (which currently has enough enriched uranium stockpiled for one nuclear bomb), while producing new centrifuges that can enrich uranium six times faster. They are increasing yellowcake production at the Gchine uranium mine. The mine currently has a design capacity of 21 tons of yellowcake per year, about half as much as is needed to produce the 55 pounds of 93% enriched uranium for a nuclear bomb.



They have a nuclear fuel facility in Isfahan capable of producing 10 tons of nuclear fuel annually, and sufficient plutonium for two nuclear weapons a year.



The Arak heavy water plant — built in violation of the nonproliferation treaty — is near its completion, though the West assumed this would not happen until 2015. This facility will be capable of producing significant amounts of bomb-grade plutonium.



As will the Bushehr nuclear power plant, which is set to go live with the help of Russia this coming summer.



At the same time, the Revolutionary Guards are making significant progress with the country’s missile delivery system, concealing their efforts within the space project they have embarked upon with North Korea. The Shahab-3 missile is capable of carrying a nuclear warhead, and can currently target Tel Aviv, Riyadh, U.S. bases in Iraq, and the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain.



The Guards’ goal is to be able to deliver a nuclear-tipped missile anywhere in Europe.



Who is to blame for Iran’s growth into a nuclear power? Sadly, it is the West — whose politicians worked tirelessly for three decades to appease the mullahs. This had the effect of buying Iran the time it needed.



Our time is now running out, and it is essential that we acknowledge our failures and take immediate action to stop Iran from becoming a nuclear state.



We must understand that a nuclear-armed Iran will not only harm the Iranian people, but will create instability throughout the world. If the leaders of Iran can currently threaten to disrupt the flow of oil, launch missiles at all U.S. bases in the region, or wipe Israel off the map, they could take the whole world hostage with nuclear weapons.



An Iran with nuclear bombs will make the leaders of Iran untouchable and empower its allies and proxies such as Syria, Hezbollah (already rearmed with thousands of Iranian rockets for a possible war with Israel), Islamic Jihad, and Hamas. Instability will rule the Middle East and have a huge impact on the world economy.



Just recently, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates warned the White House about the lack of a plan to curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions. If this is truly the case, our situation is dire indeed. One can only hope that President Obama is working to lead the world in confronting this grave and growing danger. What we do today could save millions of lives and affect how our children live for decades.



If we fail to act, future generations will never forgive us.

3 comments:

fuzzys dad May 11, 2010 at 12:57 PM  

Obama does not have the gonads to act.It will be Israel that does it.

WoFat May 11, 2010 at 2:35 PM  

fuzzys dad is 100% correct. However, mr. & mrs. obama shop well. Can't have everything.

opit April 4, 2011 at 11:01 AM  

I sure don't know where your 'intel' is coming from.

Have you looked into the American-supplied genesis of Iran's nuclear program and the terms under which they operate via the internationally agreed upon NPT - whose Third Pillar seems violated in an incessant series of 'reports' later debunked?

What about the 'coincidence' that signatory states have been so warred upon economically - sanctions -that it makes no sense whatsoever for a country to comply with its terms ? India saw that clarly enough.

Yet this would seem your source for informed valuation: the public represntations of the country which has made a policy of harassing former client states who have had the temerity to reject their foreign imposed dictators.
In that context, the actions of Obama exceed those of Bush ; just with different spin management to'make the medicine go down' better with the home supporters of foreign murder.

No do you seem aware of foreign policy which is consistent past the 'differences' of partisan politics and presidents.

http://faculty.uccb.ns.ca/cis/cis6.htm
http://www.transcend.org/tms/2010/05/the-npt-and-the-nuclear-power-trap/
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/india-has-fallen-into-npt-trap-bjp/articleshow/3453014.cms

Certainly in this context in which Iran is supported by neighbouring countries - including Turkey - one might wonder at the acceptance of representations of the danger of Iran in a context where it is supplied fuel and technology by the very people who were so aggressive in rejecting U.S. nukes in Turkey that they preciptated the 'Cuban missile Crisis'. And Putin,acting as Russia's leader, rejected proposals for missile sites in former Eastern Bloc nations to 'defend from Iran' so vehemently that he dclared any attackon Iran would be construed as an attackon Russia itslf.

Yet this is ignored and construed as unreastic...proposals to use acual, real and verified WMD against that 'risk' which the IAEA has rebutted in over 4000 inspections !

This presumably threatens a state - Israel - which manufactures weapons and has known nuclear capability : the dictates of Mutual Assured Destruction mysteriously inoperative.

This isn't even a pretense of valid 'risk analysis.'

I refer you to the tall tales about Iraq for comparison : where the making of fertilizer from yellowcake lying all over Iraq as an overwhelming danger when Nigerian importations was flagged as an intolerable risk, analysis from the CIA front company 'Brewster Jennings' mysteriously unvailable due to the
absence of Valerie Plame/Wilson, head of the CIA's middle east nuclear threat desk due to her being 'blown' via Libby/Cheney.

It is in the context of http://www.leadingtowar.com/watch_online.php and of http://www.campaigniran.org/casmii/index.php?q=node showing that nothing has changed regardless of reality that my call is determined as 'the country that cried Wolf'...or more properly 'the US suspects'.

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