Showing posts with label Moderates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moderates. Show all posts

Thursday, August 20, 2009

America Is Becoming More Conservative And More Polarized

According to a recent Gallup poll released last Friday, more Americans identify themselves as conservative than liberal in each of the fifty states.



The poll found that the states with the highest percentage of self-identified conservatives tended to be in the South. States such as Alabama and Mississippi were found to be 49% and 48% conservative respectfully, while only 15% of those polled in those states identified themselves as liberals. The state with the lowest percentage of liberals was Louisiana, with only 14%.



Many of the most liberal states were found to be on the East and West coasts. 29% of those polled in Massachusetts said they were liberal and 28% in Vermont, with Oregon (27%) and Washington (26%) coming in third and fourth.



Massachusetts and Vermont had the narrowest margins in favor of conservatism, with conservatives outnumbering liberals by 1%.



Though conservatives outnumbered liberals in all fifty states, in Washington D.C. the poll found that liberals outnumbered conservatives 37% to 23%.



However, the fact that conservatives outnumbered liberals across the country appears to support recent evidence that America is becoming increasingly conservative.



According to a set of Gallup polls done from January to May of 2009, 40% of people polled nationwide identified themselves as conservative, compared with only 21% as liberal.



"This represents a slight increase for conservatism in the U.S. since 2008, returning it to a level last seen in 2004," writes Lydia Saad concerning the nationwide poll.



In a June poll, Gallup found that 39% of Americans say their political views have become more conservative since 2004, as compared to only 19% who say they have become more liberal.



This trend towards conservatism is also supported by the recent and unprecedented Gallup polls concerning abortion.



As LSN reported, in a May poll, 51% of Americans said they were pro-life, the first time since the question starting being asked in 1995 that a majority of Americans identified themselves as pro-life.



However, in a mid-July poll the numbers equalized somewhat, with 47% of Americans calling themselves pro-life while 46% of Americans called themselves pro-choice. Theses numbers are still up, though, from 2004, when only 44% of Americans identified themselves as pro-life.



Further, an overwhelming majority of Americans think there should be some restrictions on abortion. 18% think that abortion should be illegal in all cases, while another 57% think abortion should be legal only under certain circumstances. Only 21% believed abortion should be legal under any circumstances.



Overall, the country seems to be becoming more polarized. On a nationwide basis, Gallup found that only 35% consider themselves moderate, as compared with 40% conservative and 21% liberal, the first time since 2004 there have been more conservatives than moderates.



The number of moderates has declined since the mid-90's, when 40% of Americans identified themselves as moderate.

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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

The Moderate Myth

After watching the elections, reading polls and studying results, I have come to believe that elections are not won by appealing to ideology or by presenting a sound basis for running government. You win elections by "being cool." Or, at least more cool than your opponent. In other words, elections are won by winning the uninformed voters.

I recently ran across an excellent article from "The Minority Report" that agrees with me. Or perhaps more accurately, I agree with the author of the article, and he expresses it more eloquently than I could...

We have been told that there are three major food groups in the political spectrum in this country; the liberal left, the conservative right and the largest group, the moderate middle. Repeatedly, in recent months we have been told that a failure to reach out to those moderates will leave the Republican Party and/or Conservatives a permanent minority. This is the rationale given for the Democrat-lite, watered down message the RNC and such stellar organizations as the RMSP have offered the American public in recent years.



Well, the results of those messages of moderation are hard to dispute. The results have been catastrophic – and still we are told, we must moderate even more. Moderates don’t win elections. Moderates merely win the approval of other moderates – and sometimes not even that. Moderate’s moderate John McCain could not even win the approval of uber-moderate Colin Powell as proof of that failure.



The three part premise is itself incorrect. There are not three camps in this country, but four. There are the committed leftists, which entirely encapsulates the Democratic Party. There are the committed Conservatives, who find themselves mostly identified with the Republican Party – even though that party does not wish to identify with them.



There are the moderates – centrists who are willing to weigh each decision around the proposal, “Why can’t we all just get along?”



But there is a fourth group, and that is the largest and most important group of all. That group is the Uninvolved. It is not the liberals or the conservatives who decide elections, and certainly not the moderates. It is the uninvolved who decide the outcome.



These are the American citizens who can tell you in great detail who was voted off the Survivor series this week, and why; and yet could not name today the congressman they voted for last November. The uninvolved knows pop culture, the latest rising star in Hollywood, who is sleeping with whom, and who is, according to the tabloids, seeking divorce. The uninvolved has made TMZ more popular than organized religion.



The uninvolved, as demonstrated by recent figures, no longer read newspapers or watch network news. What current events and political opinion they manage to assimilate comes mostly from popular culture, television sitcoms or Comedy Central’s Jon Stewart. They know that Dick Cheney was evil from bits and digs they heard on The View. In short, the uninvolved are ignorant, and perfectly happy to stay that way.



It is the uninvolved voter – because ignorance does not prevent them from going to the polls on Election Day and voting – that the right must court – not the moderate. The key to winning elections is to reach the uninvolved voter – to give the uninvolved voter a reason to vote for a conservative – rather than to try to court the flotsam and jetsam of moderation.



Last fall I had a co-worker tell me, “All that I know is that my 401k made money when Clinton was in office and lost money under Bush.” Little did he know the great profundity he uttered with that statement. Without realizing it, he was stating a great truth – a truth that runs throughout our society today.



That was, in fact, all that he knew!



Like most uninvolved Americans, he knew nothing about the Community Reinvestment Act, or congressional pressure on banks to make risky loans. He was completely unaware of massive campaign contributions to congressmen from those same financial institutions who were looting the system of hundreds of millions of dollars – while driving those same institutions into financial ruin.



Oh, to be sure, he was outraged when the Bush Administration gave billions to those financial institutions and then the executives took huge bonuses. That was news he could not possibly miss – and knowing the root causes was unnecessary.



Like most uninvolved Americans he was outraged last summer when gasoline prices reached $5/gallon, without any understanding or interest in what governmental and environmental policies caused it to happen. Like most uninvolved Americans he railed against the oil companies for “Windfall profits,” without any understanding of supply and demand as a factor.



Like most uninvolved Americans he knows nothing about economics. He is angry at seeing jobs lost overseas, but doesn’t understand why wages can’t continue to go up, even in a down economy. He doesn’t understand why the cost of education continues to go up, and the quality of education continues to go down – but he supports the NEA and its efforts to squash school of choice and voucher programs – because he does not want to see public money go to private schools. His parents had to make a sacrifice to send him to private school and he feels that others should have to do the same.



And finally, it is the uninvolved citizen who now finds himself upside down in his mortgage, surrounded by other homes that have either been abandoned to the bank or have been up for sale for months.



It is the uninvolved citizen who now sees auto companies filing for bankruptcy, and probably sees for the first time in his life, the very real prospect that he might soon be out of a job – with no prospect on the horizon of a recovery. It is the uninvolved citizen who looks at massive government spending giving away billions to banks that will not extend him credit to buy a car that he is no longer sure he can afford.



And it is the uninvolved citizen who, despite the best effort of the Oldstream Media, heard about a Tea Party in his area from a co-worker, and is beginning to question – again for the first time – the direction that this country is headed.



These are the people that we need to reach – that we need to recruit – in order to take back this country from the Social-Democrats who are currently running it. As Bill Ayers once famously said, “La educacion es revolucion!



It is time to educate the uninvolved and turn them into Conservatives.

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About This Blog

This blog is about my opinions and world view.  I am a conservative, evangelical Christian.  Generally speaking, if you post a comment, I'll allow you to express your view.  However, if you say something hateful, untruthful, or just generally something I don't like, I may remove it.

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